Is the Gold price surge going to continue or stop?

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Gold price
Gold has been and will be the favourite investment of Indians. Representational image

Summary

Gold price has gone up 13% in just one year, geopolitical and domestic factors are contributing equally to its rise.


So, the scoop is that the upcoming Lok Sabha elections and the recent surge in gold price might put a bit of a damper on the demand for our beloved yellow metal. According to the World Gold Council (WGC), history shows that gold consumption tends to take a dip during election seasons, and this time around seems to be no different. 

With all eyes on the movement of cash, gold, and jewellery during elections, people are holding back on their gold splurges. Plus, with the wedding season winding down in June, there’s not much hope for a post-election gold rush either.

Now, let’s talk numbers. Gold prices in India have soared to all-time highs, hitting a staggering Rs 73,840 per 10 grams as of today (April 10, 2024). And you know what they say – higher prices often mean lower demand. Sometimes this leads to an increase in investment in gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs). ETFs offer investors a convenient way to get in on the gold action without the hassle of buying physical gold.

However, even gold ETFs saw a decline in March, both in India and globally as per the data from WGC. Despite this, central banks like our very own Reserve Bank of India have been stocking up on gold like there’s no tomorrow. In fact, the RBI’s net gold buying in the first two months of 2024 already exceeds 80% of its total net purchase for 2023! (Source: NDTV)

What next?

Now, let’s flip the coin and look at the other side. Gold has always had a knack for holding its own, even during moderate market performances. It’s like that reliable friend who always has your back, no matter what. And with consistent returns over the years, it’s no wonder why gold continues to be a popular choice for investors.

So, where does all this leave us? Well, it’s hard to say for sure. While the current scenario might be putting a slight dent in gold’s shine, the long-term outlook for the precious metal remains uncertain. One thing’s for sure though – gold has a way of surprising us when we least expect it!

Also Read : How the price of Gold Jewellery is calculated: Know the Maths and other Facts

So, whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the financial waters, it’s always a good idea to keep an eye on the ever-evolving world of gold. Who knows, you might just strike gold! 

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Disclaimer: The above content is for informational purposes only. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before investing in market-linked instruments.

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